The market has been driven by wet weather across the Corn Belt, but is also effecting us here in the north. Hopefully you were able to get something in the ground. However, if unfortunately, you were not able to get what you needed planted there are options to help take care of your contracts.
Many people are taking insurance or preventive plant alternatives due to lack of planting ability. If you do have corn to market, set targets above $4 and in increments above to hit on the way up. Beans are getting slightly pulled up with corn, but are also on planting delays, so if you can hit a decent $8 price you can add a cash plus for a decent offer to even out the prices for some risk.
The government is planning on issuing out relief support this year probably based off of county averages and not this year’s crop.
If you are not working with one of our grain originators today, please give us a call. We will gladly sit down with you to create a plan and help you protect your farm. For a list of our grain originators and the one closest to you, please click here.
Written by: Michael Steingraber, CHS Grain Originator
CHS Larsen Coop’s Energy Team: Keeping Up with the Needs of the Modern Farmer.
Winter is finally over… well kind of… and spring is in full force… sort of. As we quickly enter planting and growing season, drying those crops will definitely be on the minds of most.
How many bushels will I dry this year?
How much propane will I need?
How much is this going to cost me?
Today’s farmer have enough stress to deal with daily, without the concern of budgeting for the unknown. Helping farmers control costs has always been a priority for CHS Larsen Coop. In the past, we have allowed farmers the opportunity to add their crop drying gallon needs to their winter heating contract. In an effort to evolve and take the savings one step further, CHS Larsen Coop is extremely proud to offer a CROP DRYING CONTRACTS!
Details of the new CROP DRYING CONTRACT are simple. Contracts will run 09/01/19 – 11/30/19, which
is the prime drying time. You may lock
in as many gallons as you need for drying during that time frame, while taking
advantage of pricing based off of a lower demand and typically higher supply. This will translate to great savings for our
We would still urge customers to lock in their winter
propane needs as necessary. But I
believe the new CROP DRYING CONTRACT will be an excellent addition to our
already great contracting programs!
Larsen Cooperative is proud to announce that they have awarded $18,000 in
scholarships. This is the nineteenth year they have offered a scholarship
program for their customers; already helping over 277 students. CHS Larsen
Cooperative’s trade territory has expanded and they have felt the need to
return support to the communities that help support their cooperative.
Larsen Cooperative offered this scholarship to graduating high school seniors
and currently enrolled post high school education. The 18 students that
received the 2019 scholarship are as follows: Collin Baehnman of Weyauwega,
parent Tim Baehnman; Tomi Bestul of Waupaca, parents are Tom and Connie Bestul;
Justin Engebretsen of Gillett, parents are Jeff and Cindy Engebretsen; Leah
Grundman of Winneconne, parents are Robert and Michelle Grundman; Hunter
Havrilla of Omro, parent Richard Potratz; Caitlyn Henry attending Bellin
College, parents are Jonathan and Cheryl Henry; Melissa Hofacker of Freedom,
parents are John and Lynn Hofacker; Jacob Kafer of Omro, parents are Pat and
Stacy Kafer; Garret Karweick of Seymour, parents are Jill and Vernon Karweick;
Zachary Le Mahieu of Pestigo, parents are Keith and Jean Le Mahieu; Jessica
Magdanz of Weyauwega/Fremont, parents are Dan and Medora Magdanz; Logan Meyer
of Antigo, parents are Eric and Kristin Meyer; Sara Nehring of
Weyauwega/Fremont, parents are Dan and Jennifer Nehring; Paige Proctor of
Stevens Point, parents are Anne and John Proctor; Ellen Sohrweide of Oconto,
parents are Brian and Tracey Sohrweide; Olivia Tews of New London, parents are
Todd and Lois Tews; Ashely Van Dyck attending UW-Stout, parents Andy and Laurie
Van Dyck and Markie Verhasselt of Freedom, parents are Bruce and Vicky
criteria and 2020 application are on their website CHSLarsenCooperative.com.
The deadline for the CHS Larsen Cooperative scholarship is March 15, 2020. Visit
their website to apply for next year or call 1-800-924-6677.
Larsen Cooperative is proud to support our local youth. It pays to invest in
our local future industry leaders.
Working together with CHS locations
across the country, employees, community organizations and businesses, and
farmers of CHS Larsen Cooperative joined the fight against rural hunger through
the cooperative’s annual CHS Harvest for Hunger food, and funds drive. The
annual campaign gathered more than $500,000 and 94,959 pounds of food to fight
hunger in rural America. Locally, CHS Larsen Cooperative raised $4,946 and
3,000 pounds of food for local food shelves.
Since 2011, CHS Country Operations, a
division of CHS, the nation’s leading farmer-owned cooperative, has organized
the campaign to gather money and food for local and regional food shelves
across the country. With this year’s total, the cooperative has now raised more
than $6 million and 4.5 million pounds of food in the nine years since the
campaign was first launched.
CHS Larsen Cooeprative participated in
the 2019 Harvest for Hunger drive held March 1-20 through a variety of
fundraising activities, including teaming up with four school disticts (New
London, Winneconne, Freedom and Weyauwega-Fremont) to raise food and funds. CHS
Larsen Cooperative wanted to make a larger impact in the communities which
receive the donations. By teaming up with the schools it turned out to be very
successful. All the food raised in each school district went to their local
food pantry. All pantries received over 400 pounds of food each!
“Often, local food shelves and food pantries are doing invisible work. They are feeding people in our rural communities who we would never imagine are going hungry,” says Todd Reif, “That’s why it’s so important that we support these local organizations. We are in the business of feeding the world, but we may never realize who is facing hunger right in our own communities. But these organizations have the system and contacts in place to make sure everyone has food on the table every day.”
This year we have two interns joining our agronomy staff, Michelle
Erickson and Bryce Hering.
Michelle comes to us from Greenville, WI. She is currently
a student at Fox Valley Technical College where she is pursing a major in
Agribusiness Science and Animal Science. She wanted to work for CHS Larsen
Co-op to gain more knowledge on the agronomy side of agriculture. She is most
excited about being able to be outside and learn more about crops and soils, as
well as talking with farmers. In her free time, she enjoys shooting trap,
riding four-wheelers, hanging with friends, fishing, driving tractor and going
on road trips. Something interesting about Michelle is that she lives on a
Bryce is from the Saxeville area. He is attending UW-River
Falls, where he is majoring in Crops and Soil Science. He came to CHS Larsen
Co-op because he heard it was a great place to work and it was close to home for
him this summer. He’s very excited to meet new people and learn more about
crops and pests in the fields. Outside of school and work his hobbies are hunting,
fishing, spending time with friends and camping up north. Something interesting
about Bryce is that he showed pigs for 10 years and he has never broken a bone.
We are very excited to have Bryce and Michelle work with us
this summer! They will be sharing updates throughout the summer on what they
are learning in their internships.
BLACK CUTWORM – A weekend storm front on May 5-6 brought additional flights of black cutworms northward into the state. DATCP’s 44 monitoring locations collected 267 moths, with 10 sites registering significant counts of nine or more moths in two nights. The highest trap count for the week was 20 moths near Hampden in Columbia County. Pheromone traps have captured a cumulative total of 758 specimens since the first moth appeared on April 4.
The black cutworm counts recorded this spring are considered moderate in comparison to captures in high-moth years,though delayed spring field preparation and early-season weed growth have provided highly favorable egg laying habitat for female moths arriving over the past 4-5 weeks.Based on the first major BCW migration event on April 12 and the expected slow accumulation of degree days over the next two weeks,the earliest peak corn cutting window will not open until May 27 near Beloit, May 29 near Madison, and June 4 near Hancock. However, the second wave of significant captures recorded in the past week signals the cutting period could be protracted, with a second peak damage period starting around June 6.
The late start
to 2019 planting season and the consistent moth migrations documented since
mid-April indicate a high risk of BCW damage to vegetative corn this spring.
*Mustang Maxx Preventative or Rescue at 2.5 oz – 3 oz /acre. Hero Preventative or Rescue at 4 oz/acre.*
SEEDCORN MAGGOT -Emergence of first-generation
flies from overwintered pupae has peaked.Peak fly emergence theoretically occurred last week across
southern Wisconsin with the accumulation of 360 degree days (sine base 39°F),
and is forecast for the Appleton, Hancock and Tomah areas of central Wisconsin
in the week ahead Heavy egg laying is likely during this time. Cool, moist soil
conditions prevalent statewide are less than optimal for rapid seed germination
and highly favorable for seedcorn maggot (SCM) infestation, increasing the risk of maggot
damage to susceptible crops such as corn and soybean seeds and seedlings.
Planting as close as possible to the ‘fly-free’ period between the first and
second generations can reduce risk and is the primary cultural control for this
spring soil insect pest.If SCM infestation is suspected, dig up apparent seed
skips in the row and examine seed for evidence of damage. Cutworms, wireworms,
and white grubs are other insects that can contribute to stand loss.
* Make sure your growers have either Capture LFR or Ethos XB in the Starter Fertilizer tank to help against Seed corn Maggot!*
The big news of late is the inability to get our corn crop
planted on time, and the real risk of corn acres either not getting planted or
they get switched to beans instead. On
Monday’s crop progress report, the US has only planted 30% of its corn crop and
last year we were are 59% complete. On
beans, only 9% were planted as compared to 32% last year. Obviously, the wet weather has prevented the
farmer from getting in the field and has pushed all planting significantly back
from normal completion rates. However,
as I speak now, the farmer is aggressively planting corn in many areas of the
Corn Belt right now, running full bore and around the clock. Conditions are not perfect, but the calendar
is forcing the issue. Rains are expected
to come towards the end of the week, and they are getting it done, one way or
After weeks of relentless fund selling of grain futures at
Chicago, this late planting issue finally came to a head on Tuesday as the corn
market rallied 15 cents higher and beans over 30 cents higher. The funds had a record short position in corn
of over 325,000 contracts short and beans over 150,000 contracts short, which
had been accumulated in the last 30 days.
These funds had been significantly pressing grain futures lower through
last week, being relentless on pressing futures lower consistently over the
last 3 weeks. Beans last $1.20 and corn
over 25 cents. However, this mentality
started to change on Monday, and the market screamed higher on Tuesday and it
is still higher today. Its all about the
lack of planting process on both corn and beans, and now the market is putting
more risk premium in the market for delayed planting and yield lag. The funds were extremely short and this news
has caused them to cover their short position buy aggressively buying
futures. This buying has propped up the
market in a big way and is giving all of you the opportunity to make “catch up”
Time will tell whether the farmer will be able to get all of
his corn acres planted. However, there
is no other time in history where the farmer has had less capacity to plant
massive acreage once the conditions are right.
Today’s farmer has aggressively invested in new planting capacity to be
able to plant his crop in very short order.
Yes, we are behind. But the real
question is whether the farmer can catch up on planting. He definitely has the tools. He just needs Mother Nature to cooperate.
Even though we are seeing a nice rally, the grain
fundamentals still have not changed that much, especially for beans. Please view this rally as an opportunity to
catch up on forward new crop sales that were missed earlier. The bullish case for corn has more standing
power than beans. Still, this is not the
time to get bullish on either corn or beans, but time to think about salvaging
a very difficult marketing year. This is
especially true for beans. This weather
scenario will likely add more bean acres at the expense of corn. The result will be an even bigger amount of
beans carried out next year, most likely between 1.0 and 1.3 B bu, which is
just huge. This is the 3rd
day of our rally, and you can tell it is starting to lose some of its
steam. Now is the perfect time to place
target orders just under resistance levels and get more new beans sold for
harvest or next summer if you have bin space.
Targets Produce Success and
Protection For Your Farm
The weather markets are pushing the market around like a yoyo and producing unprecedented volatility. However, volatility can be your friend if you have a solid marketing plan and know how much and at what price you feel comfortable selling when the right opportunities present themselves. If you are not working with one of our grain originators today, please give us a call. We will gladly sit down with you to create a plan and help you protect your farm. For a list of our grain originators and the one closest to you, please click here. These types of volatile markets are a grain marketer’s dream. The volatility present selling opportunities that are very short lived. For the disciplined marketer, who knows exactly what commodity he needs to sell and at what level, this is a perfect scenario. You simply place target orders in our system and at 3 am in the morning next Thursday while China makes an announcement when we are all sleeping, the markets ramps up, hits your target, locks in your contract price, all automatically while you are in bed. How fantastic is that! I encourage all of you to start using our online target system. Its free, easy, and will protect your farm. Please click here for more information.
What Are The Charts Telling Us?
Here are the support and resistance levels for cash and new
crop grains. These are all futures
levels as traded at Chicago:
Cash Corn – July 19 Corn Futures – Support at $3.43,
Resistance at $3.80, Place Targets at $3.76
New Corn – Dec 19 Corn Futures – Support at $3.63,
Resistance at $3.98, Place Targets at $3.95
Cash Beans – July 19 Bean Futures – Support at $7.91, Resistance at $8.58, Place Targets at $8.48
New Beans – Nov 19 Bean Futures – Support at $8.15, Resistance at $8.80, Place Targets at $8.70
New Wheat – July 19 Wheat Futures – Support at $4.19,
Resistance at $4.60, Place Targets at $4.55
To see where grain futures are currently trading, pleaseclick here.
Have You Sold Enough New Beans
Yet? Make Values Even Better With Cash
I can build a solid case why beans will move lower in the
coming weeks as more acres get planted and less corn. In addition, the bean planting window is not
nearly as tight as the optimum corn planting window. If you still have new beans to sell, please
check out our Cash Plus Contracts. We
can add a premium to your new crop bean sales price in exchange for an offer to
sell more new beans if November Bean futures close above a certain level on Oct
23rd. (These premiums are for
contracts in 5,000 bushel increments only.)
These contracts will allow you to sell new beans today with a 36 cent premium added to the new
crop cash price in exchange for an offer to sell the same quantity of new crop
bean futures at $8.60 if on Oct 23rd, the November bean futures
close at or above this level. If futures
close below this level, you get to keep this entire premium, and you don’t have
any other obligation. So it is a win-win
for you. You get to keep the 36 cent
premium paid to you on top of the current new crop bean price, and if on Oct 23rd,
depending on what November bean futures trade at the close on this date, you
might be able to keep this entire premium free and clear. The worst case is that you would have the
same bushel commitment in another new crop sale where November futures were
locked in at the $8.60 level. Taking off
the basis of 92 cents under the November futures for delivery into Readfield,
which is our current posted new crop bean basis, you would have a new crop bean
contract at 8.60 – 92 (basis) + 36 cent premium = $8.04 The worst case is that you would have another
set of new beans sold at $8.60 November futures for Oct / Nov ’19 delivery into
Readfield or Center Valley.
Unless you live under a rock or North of Hwy 64, like me, I am sure that you have seen an article or heard a news report about the US/China trade war. Talk of new tariff’s on Chinese goods have been in and out of headlines since the initial tariff taxes of 10% on most goods were imposed last fall. But last week this trade war ramped up to the next level when trade talks stalled, and an additional 15% tariff tax was added to goods that were already carrying the initial 10% from 6 months ago.
Although there has been a great deal of “tariff talk”
lately, some may not exactly understand what a tariff really is and how it will
affect our industry. Everyone has their
own opinion, mostly depending on their political affiliation. So, rather than quoting a bunch of headlines
from CNN to Fox news, let’s just do a brief dissection of the meat of this
trade war so you can form your own opinion!
Let’s start with….
WHAT IS A TARIFF? A tariff is a special fee that is charged to the corporation that imports certain products from other countries. Like Walmart for instance, when they order a whole bunch of Haier TV’s or that nasty frozen tilapia fish they sell; the products come into one of our 328 US ports of entry for inspection. Upon inspection Walmart will get charged a tariff or “duty” fee for the release of the goods. US and custom border agents collect the fees that go directly to the US Treasury. By the way; don’t eat that Chinese tilapia, it is like poison; but that is a story for another day…moving on.
ARE TARIFF FEES CHARGED ON ALL IMPORTS? 96% of all imported products are charged a
tariff fee, with the average rate at 2%.
Currently, China is the highest rate at 25%; bumping the Bahamas out of
the top spot, with a current fee of 18.56%.
Coincidently, the current duty fee to China are only about ½ the size of
the 59% fees that were implemented back in the 30’s during the great
WHY CHARGE TARIFF’S? Tariffs are charged for a couple reasons. The major reasons are to generate income for the government and to protect the US manufacturing industry. For instance, if there were no tariff fees on BMW, a new three series would cost about the same price as a Ford Focus…and that is just not right! This is not something that Ford wants or can financially handle. So, basically it puts the US on a more even playing field with other countries. In theory, it keeps US manufacturer successful, which keeps the US workforce gainfully employed.
HOW WILL THE TARIFF’S AFFECT US? Everyone has a different view on this, because a few things can happen. Product prices could go up-> retail and manufacturing facilities may look at temporary lay-offs to cut expenses…but on the flip side-> American made product sales could soar -> US manufacturing facilities may have to increase their workforce due to new orders?
On the energy side, China was one of our biggest exporters of propane. Since the start of these tariffs, way back in September 2018, China has completely slowed their orders and are now at a slow trickle. This has caused inventories to rise throughout the winter and I am sure we will see some big numbers this summer as usage throughout the Midwest declines. Typically, high inventories lead to lower pricing; unless the transportation services decide to take a bigger piece of the pie and raise their fees (supply and demand). I am not sure if these savings will ultimately make it to the consumer or not?
This may be an interesting summer. With this current trade situation and the expiration of OPEC’s production cuts, we may see some 1st in the energy sector. Buckle up folks, I think we are in for a fun ride!
released its April crop report on Tuesday and showed more corn stocks than
originally thought. However, the market
held firm after the release. Let’s look
at the details.
In the corn
market, the USDA reduced feed usage by 75 M bu down to 5.3 B bu. They also reduced the amount of corn used by
the ethanol industry by 50 M bu down to 5.5 B bu. This industry continues to struggle with a
lack of margins, and the industry is not running at capacity at this time. This helps to explain why corn usage has
backed off. Finally, corn exports were
reduced by 75 M bu down to 2.3 B bu as well.
The US market is struggling to find export demand. Last year, the PNW was very busy shipping
corn to China. This year, Brazil and
Argentina have huge corn crops on the horizon and their price is substantially
cheaper than corn from the US. In fact,
they have the cheapest corn in the world now, and the Chinese are buying their
corn and not ours. On top of all of
this, the Trump administration and China continue to work together to try and
get a new agreement in place to end the tariff war between the two
countries. This is allowed China to not
buy corn like in past years as well. Its
been a very long time since we have seen the USDA reduce all three of these
categories on the same report, and it added to the heaviness of the
report. When the dust settled, there
were 200 M bu of corn added to ending stocks, increasing this final number to
2.035 B bu.
As I have
said many times, having a corn carryout starting with a “2” puts the market in
comfort mode. Supplies are plentiful,
and the market will likely see no need to rally. However, we have a mounting problem just
around the corner. This relaxed
sentiment makes the assumption that we have no problems planting a 92.8 M acre
corn crop. Will the US be able to get
all of this corn planted at the right time as major areas of the western and
northern Corn Belt sit now with a major snow or rain event on top of it right
now? Even with no snow or rain today,
vast areas still are dealing with wetter and colder soil conditions which will
likely press the corn planting date well into May. Now, with more snow and rain, it just keeps
pushing the likely corn planting date farther and farther into the back edge of
the appropriate planting window for corn.
If any other weather systems develop and drop more precipitation in
these areas, I can easily see many corn acres get switched to beans. If this happens, all of a sudden, we don’t
have such a plentiful corn supply. In
the coming days, I see the corn market becoming much more sensitive to the
weather situation. On top of this, the
funds are extremely short corn futures, and all we need is a reason for them to
cover (buy) their short position back, and we could have an explosive corn
market on our hands until the we get our corn completely planted. Thus, I am not bearish corn. There is a real potential for the corn market
to bounce from these levels and rally until at least we get 50% of the crop
planted. It is a real risk, and the
market will eventually recognize it, at some point.
market is totally different. But first,
lets look at the USDA report. Unlike
corn, the USDA made very little changes to the Supply and Demand table during
April. They reduced imports by 3 M bu
and increased seed usage by 2 M bu. But
the most obvious change that is needed, they failed to adjust, again. They left bean exports at 1.875 B bu and
continue to leave bean exports alone. If
the USDA was honest with us, they would start cutting these back instead of
waiting until the end of the crop year to slash them. My best guess is that exports will be lowered
(eventually by 200 M bu or so. When this
happens, bean carryout will grow from its current 895 M bu to at least 1.1 to
1.2 B bu. Folks, this is a lot of
beans. Many producers went ahead and
used the $1.65 from the USDA and used this payment to supplement their cash
flow needs and left their beans in the bin or in storage, and still
unpriced. I can build a case where beans
move lower and lower as more and more corn acres get planted with beans, and
the farmer won’t move their beans until they are forced to do so just prior to
fall harvest. Thus, we could have a very
heavy farmer deliveries during Aug / September and have 2 harvests back to
back. This will add increased pressure
to futures and basis as more beans are rammed in the pipeline.
Most farmers are waiting for a China deal to be finalized before selling more of their beans. My best guess is that Trump will demand a perfect agreement with China, and this will take another 6-8 weeks to get accomplished. By then, the opportunity for China to buy any more old beans will be completely over. Brazil and Argentina have the cheapest beans in the world right now, and their bigger than average yields will continue to press bean prices lower and lower. On top of this, if the US farmer cannot plant his corn crop due to wet / cold weather, and instead plants beans to be able to survive, the beans carryout will continue to expand and beans are / will be extremely over priced compared to today’s values. Thus, I am bearish beans in a big way. The market is not looking at these fundamentals yet, but as we inch closer and close to planting, and experience continual delays in plating corn, the market will be forced to recognize it in a big way. The real risk here is a substantially lower bean futures market and a substantially wider new crop basis levels that will be considerably wider than last years wide basis level. If I were you, I would take action today to protect your farm. Please click hereto see which grain originator on our staff can help you create a unique marketing plan for your farm, and help you place target orders in our online system. I offer further explanation below.
What Are The Charts Telling Us?
Here are the support and resistance levels for cash and new
crop grains. These are all futures
levels as traded at Chicago:
Cash Corn – May 19 Corn Futures – Support at $3.55,
Resistance at $3.66, Place Targets at $3.65
New Corn – Dec 19 Corn Futures – Support at $3.84,
Resistance at $3.96, Place Targets at $3.95
New Wheat – July 19 Wheat Futures – Support at $4.35,
Resistance at $4.82, Place Targets at $7.78
To see where grain futures are currently trading, please click here.
Have You Sold Enough New Beans
Yet? Make Values Even Better With Cash
I can build a solid case why beans will move lower in the coming weeks as more acres get planted and less corn. In addition, the bean planting window is not nearly as tight as the optimum corn planting window. If you still have new beans to sell, please check out our Cash Plus Contracts. We can add a premium to your new crop bean sales price in exchange for an offer to sell more new beans if November Bean futures close above a certain level on Oct 23rd. These contracts will allow you to sell new beans today with an 18 cent premium added to the new crop cash price in exchange for an offer to sell the same quantity of new crop bean futures around $9.60 if on Oct 23rd, the November bean futures close at or above this level. If futures close below this level, you get to keep this entire premium, and you don’t have any other obligation. So it is a win-win for you. You get to keep the 18-cent premium paid to you on top of the current new crop bean price, and if on Oct 23rd, depending on what November bean futures trade at the close on this date, you might be able to keep this entire premium free and clear. The worst case is that you would have the same bushel commitment in another new crop sale where November futures were locked in at the $9.60 level. Taking off the basis of 92 cents under the November futures for delivery into Readfield, which is our current posted new crop bean basis, you would have a new crop bean contract at 9.60 – 92 +18 cent premium = $8.86 The worst case is that you would have another set of new beans sold at $8.68 for Oct / Nov ’19 delivery into Readfield or Center Valley. This is a good price considering our posted new crop price is at $8.38 or so today. Please check this out. We have been writing many of these contracts as of late, and they work really well. Please click here to see our current cash grain bids.
Targets Produce Success and
Protection For Your Farm
Before long, weather markets will push the market around like a yoyo and produce unprecedented volatility. However, volatility can be your friend if you have a solid marketing plan and know how much and at what price you feel comfortable selling when the right opportunities present themselves. If you are not working with one of our grain originators today, please give us a call. We will gladly sit down with you to create a plan and help you protect your farm. For a list of our grain originators and the one closest to you, please click here. The volatility present selling opportunities that are very short lived. For the disciplined marketer, who knows exactly what commodity he needs to sell and at what level, this is a perfect scenario. You simply place target orders in our system and at 3 am in the morning next Thursday while China makes an announcement when we are all sleeping, the markets ramps up, hits your target, locks in your contract price, all automatically while you are in bed. How fantastic is that! I encourage all of you to start using our online target system. Its free, easy, and will protect your farm. Please click here for more information.
LAST CALL For New Crop Average Price
Contracts – Sign Up Today
We are now enrolling bushels into our new crop Average Price
Contract which is for new crop grain that will be delivered during this
fall. This is a cash contract and will
use a 10 week period to average the price.
The timing of the new crop contract will be May 1st through July 3rd. We will simply average the closing prices
each Wednesday during these periods, pricing 1/10 of your contracted bushels
each week during the period. At the end
of the period, we will simply average the prices together. There is no minimum quantity and the best part
of these contracts are that they are FREE. There are no fees associated with these
The dates associated with the new crop pricing period of May 1st to July 3rd is normally a very good time to sell new crop grain because the market is dealing with planting problems and then dealing with dry weather problems somewhere in the Corn Belt. When problems surface, the market puts more risk premium in the futures, and you will be participating in the market to capture these premiums. If there are no problems, the market usually drifts lower after the July 4th holiday, making the timing an excellent part of this new crop average contract. These contracts are simple, easy to understand, and they work. Every farmer should put a decent amount of grain into these contracts to help protect your farm. For more information on these exciting new contracts, pleaseclick here.
As always, if I can help you with anything, please call me
at the grain office on my cell at 419-279-3809, or send me an email at email@example.com.
We rang in
the new year with the lowest crude oil values since August of 2017. To our surprise, those values remain the
lowest seen this quarter. Slow and
steady, just like a turtle crude oil managed to sneak in a 23% gain in values
over the past three months. Diesel and
Gasoline followed crude oils pattern, just like the good soldiers that they
are. Both increasing roughly 25%,
gasoline gaining a bit more than diesel.
So, why the
drastic change and such volatility in the past three months?
this out we need to examine the factors that cause market movement. So, let’s look a little closer at supply/demand
and the economy.
past 18 months OPEC has managed to make headlines with their continued threats
of production cuts. There has been quite
a bit of skepticism regarding the actual follow through of these cuts. In the past, greed has taken over and most of
the nations that did agree to cut production have failed miserably. Over the past 6-9 months however, OPEC and
non-OPEC countries have steadily decreased their production and have managed to
cut 1.2 million bpd. This 3% total cut
in oil production has managed to drive values up almost 25%. Though the US continues to ramp up its production,
these imports, or lack thereof are killing us.
Every so often, the President will take to twitter and demand that OPEC
discontinue their cuts. This is usually enough
to bring crude oil values down a buck or so, but unfortunately it seems to be
short lived as the market rebounds a day or two later.
As much as
President Trump tries to help with his tweets, the new jobs created as well as
the overall confidence in the US economy that have become the norm under his
leadership are only helping push crude oil values up. US unemployment is at an all-time low of
3.8%. We have watched the DOW’s steady
incline over the past few years; going up over 30 points in the past three
months. The Federal Reserve has also
taken advantage of the stronger economy outlook, raising interest rates several
times in the past year; from 1.7% to 2.5%- 1/4% of this growth occurring within
the last four months. Globally, things
are not as strong; and this may be our only saving grace. Considered to be one of the foremost developing
nation, China, was projected to have extraordinary growth throughout 2019/2020. Well,
they are a mess! Their projected growth
figures have been cut three times this year, with more to come.
I honestly don’t know that we will see a lot of change over the next three months. But, as the OPEC cut agreements get closer to their maturity dates, I think we may see some excitement.